Numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation in the Valley of Mexico moderates temperatures, while late-summer trade winds, humidity from the ongoing rainy season, and variable cloud cover or showers can cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with 25°C or higher holding 31.5% odds due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Official guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles like ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing often determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
24°C 42%
25°C or higher 32%
23°C 17%
22°C 9%
BAGO
$14,231 Vol.
BAGO
$14,231 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
17%
24°C
42%
25°C or higher
32%
24°C 42%
25°C or higher 32%
23°C 17%
22°C 9%
BAGO
$14,231 Vol.
BAGO
$14,231 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$31 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$509 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,093 Vol.
9%
23°C
$3,778 Vol.
17%
24°C
$3,023 Vol.
42%
25°C or higher
$3,625 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation in the Valley of Mexico moderates temperatures, while late-summer trade winds, humidity from the ongoing rainy season, and variable cloud cover or showers can cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with 25°C or higher holding 31.5% odds due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Official guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles like ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing often determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,231Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation in the Valley of Mexico moderates temperatures, while late-summer trade winds, humidity from the ongoing rainy season, and variable cloud cover or showers can cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with 25°C or higher holding 31.5% odds due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Official guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles like ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing often determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,231Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation in the Valley of Mexico moderates temperatures, while late-summer trade winds, humidity from the ongoing rainy season, and variable cloud cover or showers can cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with 25°C or higher holding 31.5% odds due to uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Official guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles like ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in precipitation timing often determine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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