Widespread exceptional drought (D4) conditions persist across multiple western and southern states as of the September 17 U.S. Drought Monitor update, driven by the contiguous U.S. recording its warmest June–August period on record alongside below-normal precipitation that expanded flash drought in the Southern Plains and sustained severe deficits in the Rockies and High Plains. Official data show D4 coverage in states including Colorado, New Mexico, Idaho, Texas, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi, Nevada, and North Carolina, with localized areas meeting the highest-intensity criteria on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in the week of September 22 reflects these entrenched patterns and limited near-term relief expected before the next update. A rapid, widespread precipitation event or sharp model revisions could reduce the count, though current National Weather Service and NOAA outlooks indicate persistence through late September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 22, 2026?
10 or more states 94%
7-9 states 5%
1-2 states 3.0%
3-4 states 3.0%
0 states
1%
1-2 states
3%
3-4 states
3%
5-6 states
3%
7-9 states
5%
10 or more states
94%
10 or more states 94%
7-9 states 5%
1-2 states 3.0%
3-4 states 3.0%
0 states
1%
1-2 states
3%
3-4 states
3%
5-6 states
3%
7-9 states
5%
10 or more states
94%
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Widespread exceptional drought (D4) conditions persist across multiple western and southern states as of the September 17 U.S. Drought Monitor update, driven by the contiguous U.S. recording its warmest June–August period on record alongside below-normal precipitation that expanded flash drought in the Southern Plains and sustained severe deficits in the Rockies and High Plains. Official data show D4 coverage in states including Colorado, New Mexico, Idaho, Texas, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi, Nevada, and North Carolina, with localized areas meeting the highest-intensity criteria on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in the week of September 22 reflects these entrenched patterns and limited near-term relief expected before the next update. A rapid, widespread precipitation event or sharp model revisions could reduce the count, though current National Weather Service and NOAA outlooks indicate persistence through late September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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