Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely peak between 20–22°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit daytime heating without full solar exposure. Current conditions show gradual warming from mid-September baselines around 17–18°C, with low precipitation chances supporting modest temperature rises. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speed variations, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This places the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes in line with ensemble consensus, while historical September averages near 16°C highlight the above-normal pattern expected under the current setup. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
11%
20°C
25%
21°C
31%
22°C
26%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
5%
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
11%
20°C
25%
21°C
31%
22°C
26%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely peak between 20–22°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit daytime heating without full solar exposure. Current conditions show gradual warming from mid-September baselines around 17–18°C, with low precipitation chances supporting modest temperature rises. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speed variations, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This places the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes in line with ensemble consensus, while historical September averages near 16°C highlight the above-normal pattern expected under the current setup. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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