Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible patchy rain. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin support this range, consistent with September climatology where overnight lows typically hover around 19–22°C. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. The near-even market probabilities between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on tail risks despite current observational data and short-range guidance favoring moderate conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
15°C or below 79%
25°C or higher 78%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
79%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
27%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
78%
15°C or below 79%
25°C or higher 78%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
79%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
27%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and possible patchy rain. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin support this range, consistent with September climatology where overnight lows typically hover around 19–22°C. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation could nudge the exact low by 1–2°C. The near-even market probabilities between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on tail risks despite current observational data and short-range guidance favoring moderate conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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