Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
BAGO
$13,762 Vol.
BAGO
$13,762 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
17%
32°C
30%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
BAGO
$13,762 Vol.
BAGO
$13,762 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,828 Vol.
17%
32°C
$1,394 Vol.
30%
33°C
$3,891 Vol.
35%
34°C
$2,936 Vol.
16%
35°C
$969 Vol.
3%
36°C
$817 Vol.
2%
37°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$13,762Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,762Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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