Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS model runs position a minimum near 14°C as the leading outcome for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and partly to mostly clear skies that favor radiational cooling overnight. Highs are expected near 20–22°C before temperatures fall to the mid-teens, aligning closely with the 13–14°C historical average low for the date amid a September that has run several degrees above normal. Trader consensus on 14°C reflects strong model agreement, while the 18°C-or-higher bucket captures residual uncertainty around cloud cover or wind mixing, and lower tails price in any sharper cooling surprises. Updated model guidance and official Environment Canada briefings ahead of sunset will provide the final inputs before overnight observations from Pearson International Airport resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on September 18?
8°C or below 55%
18°C or higher 55%
14°C 45%
13°C 40%
8°C or below
55%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
45%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
40%
18°C or higher
55%
8°C or below 55%
18°C or higher 55%
14°C 45%
13°C 40%
8°C or below
55%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
45%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
40%
18°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS model runs position a minimum near 14°C as the leading outcome for Toronto on September 18, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and partly to mostly clear skies that favor radiational cooling overnight. Highs are expected near 20–22°C before temperatures fall to the mid-teens, aligning closely with the 13–14°C historical average low for the date amid a September that has run several degrees above normal. Trader consensus on 14°C reflects strong model agreement, while the 18°C-or-higher bucket captures residual uncertainty around cloud cover or wind mixing, and lower tails price in any sharper cooling surprises. Updated model guidance and official Environment Canada briefings ahead of sunset will provide the final inputs before overnight observations from Pearson International Airport resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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