**Latest official forecasts and model consensus point to an afternoon peak near 26–27 °C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides moderating maritime influence, while September climatology shows typical highs around 25–26 °C. Hourly observations indicate gradual warming from morning lows near 21–23 °C, with peaks expected mid-afternoon before cooling under increasing cloudiness. Minor model spreads in solar insolation and wind strength explain the tight market split between 26 °C and 27 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or higher given the stable high-pressure pattern and lack of stronger advection. Updated NMC or CMA guidance later today will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
27°C 43%
26°C 41%
28°C 9%
25°C 4%
$19,301 Vol.
$19,301 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
41%
27°C
43%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
26°C 41%
28°C 9%
25°C 4%
$19,301 Vol.
$19,301 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
41%
27°C
43%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts and model consensus point to an afternoon peak near 26–27 °C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides moderating maritime influence, while September climatology shows typical highs around 25–26 °C. Hourly observations indicate gradual warming from morning lows near 21–23 °C, with peaks expected mid-afternoon before cooling under increasing cloudiness. Minor model spreads in solar insolation and wind strength explain the tight market split between 26 °C and 27 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or higher given the stable high-pressure pattern and lack of stronger advection. Updated NMC or CMA guidance later today will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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