Recent model runs from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 18–19 °C for Moscow on 14 September, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Westerly to southwesterly flow at 5–8 m/s is advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. The primary uncertainty lies in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon cloud build-up, which can shift the peak temperature by 1 °C depending on whether insolation peaks before or after thicker stratiform layers arrive. Historical climatology places the September 14 average high at 16.7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model updates that refine boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation forecasts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
19°C 44%
18°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
37%
19°C
44%
20°C
13%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$108 Vol.
2%
16°C
$50 Vol.
3%
17°C
$269 Vol.
6%
18°C
$277 Vol.
37%
19°C
$253 Vol.
44%
20°C
$249 Vol.
13%
21°C
$321 Vol.
2%
22°C
$199 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 18–19 °C for Moscow on 14 September, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Westerly to southwesterly flow at 5–8 m/s is advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. The primary uncertainty lies in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon cloud build-up, which can shift the peak temperature by 1 °C depending on whether insolation peaks before or after thicker stratiform layers arrive. Historical climatology places the September 14 average high at 16.7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model updates that refine boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,513Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 18–19 °C for Moscow on 14 September, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Westerly to southwesterly flow at 5–8 m/s is advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. The primary uncertainty lies in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon cloud build-up, which can shift the peak temperature by 1 °C depending on whether insolation peaks before or after thicker stratiform layers arrive. Historical climatology places the September 14 average high at 16.7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model updates that refine boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,513Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 18–19 °C for Moscow on 14 September, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Westerly to southwesterly flow at 5–8 m/s is advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. The primary uncertainty lies in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon cloud build-up, which can shift the peak temperature by 1 °C depending on whether insolation peaks before or after thicker stratiform layers arrive. Historical climatology places the September 14 average high at 16.7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model updates that refine boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation forecasts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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