Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 21–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds and an incoming frontal system that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances to 30–87%. This setup favors the market's leading 22°C outcome at 61% implied probability, as cooler air advection and potential showers suppress daytime maxima below recent norms near 25–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 23°C and 21°C as secondary possibilities if rainfall timing shifts. Traders are monitoring the final 48-hour updates for any intensification of the system that could alter peak readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
22°C 59%
21°C 18%
23°C 17%
19°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
18%
22°C
59%
23°C
17%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 59%
21°C 18%
23°C 17%
19°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$117 Vol.
1%
19°C
$47 Vol.
6%
20°C
$104 Vol.
3%
21°C
$123 Vol.
18%
22°C
$309 Vol.
59%
23°C
$90 Vol.
17%
24°C
$19 Vol.
6%
25°C
$73 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 21–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds and an incoming frontal system that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances to 30–87%. This setup favors the market's leading 22°C outcome at 61% implied probability, as cooler air advection and potential showers suppress daytime maxima below recent norms near 25–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 23°C and 21°C as secondary possibilities if rainfall timing shifts. Traders are monitoring the final 48-hour updates for any intensification of the system that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$883Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 21–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds and an incoming frontal system that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances to 30–87%. This setup favors the market's leading 22°C outcome at 61% implied probability, as cooler air advection and potential showers suppress daytime maxima below recent norms near 25–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 23°C and 21°C as secondary possibilities if rainfall timing shifts. Traders are monitoring the final 48-hour updates for any intensification of the system that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$883Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 21–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds and an incoming frontal system that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances to 30–87%. This setup favors the market's leading 22°C outcome at 61% implied probability, as cooler air advection and potential showers suppress daytime maxima below recent norms near 25–28°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 23°C and 21°C as secondary possibilities if rainfall timing shifts. Traders are monitoring the final 48-hour updates for any intensification of the system that could alter peak readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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