Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Shanghai's September 8 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, with limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and humidity near 60 percent. Current conditions on September 6 show highs around 30°C amid similar patterns, supporting the tight market split where 30°C leads slightly at 44 percent implied probability and 29°C follows at 43 percent. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect outlier runs. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
30°C 44%
29°C 43%
28°C 8%
31°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
43%
30°C
44%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 43%
28°C 8%
31°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
$286 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$115 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$32 Vol.
8%
29°C
$186 Vol.
43%
30°C
$127 Vol.
44%
31°C
$105 Vol.
7%
32°C
$8 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Shanghai's September 8 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, with limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and humidity near 60 percent. Current conditions on September 6 show highs around 30°C amid similar patterns, supporting the tight market split where 30°C leads slightly at 44 percent implied probability and 29°C follows at 43 percent. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect outlier runs. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,209Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Shanghai's September 8 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, with limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and humidity near 60 percent. Current conditions on September 6 show highs around 30°C amid similar patterns, supporting the tight market split where 30°C leads slightly at 44 percent implied probability and 29°C follows at 43 percent. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect outlier runs. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,209Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Shanghai's September 8 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, with limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover and humidity near 60 percent. Current conditions on September 6 show highs around 30°C amid similar patterns, supporting the tight market split where 30°C leads slightly at 44 percent implied probability and 29°C follows at 43 percent. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect outlier runs. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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