**Recent forecast updates from models like ECMWF and GFS show a weather system bringing widespread cloud cover, rain, and showers to northern Italy on September 10, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures modest.** Hourly projections indicate peaks near 20–22°C in the afternoon under mostly overcast skies, with lighter winds from the northeast limiting mixing and warm advection. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C, as small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or model bias in the 1–3°C range create genuine uncertainty. Historical September averages for Milan hover around 24–25°C, but the current setup favors cooler outcomes relative to climatology. Updated model runs and official agency guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on September 10?
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
25%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
7%
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
25%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates from models like ECMWF and GFS show a weather system bringing widespread cloud cover, rain, and showers to northern Italy on September 10, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures modest.** Hourly projections indicate peaks near 20–22°C in the afternoon under mostly overcast skies, with lighter winds from the northeast limiting mixing and warm advection. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C, as small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or model bias in the 1–3°C range create genuine uncertainty. Historical September averages for Milan hover around 24–25°C, but the current setup favors cooler outcomes relative to climatology. Updated model runs and official agency guidance expected later today could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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