NASA and ESA planetary defense monitoring through the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) and similar systems has identified no known near-Earth objects on collision courses capable of delivering 5 kilotons TNT equivalent impact energy in 2026. Ongoing surveys track frequent close approaches by small asteroids—typically airplane- or house-sized—passing at safe distances measured in lunar distances or more, with all recent 2026 encounters confirmed non-threatening. While fireball reports have risen this year, these involve meter-scale meteoroids producing localized effects far below 5kt thresholds, consistent with normal flux rather than elevated risk. Historical impact frequencies and absence of new detections in refined orbital data reinforce trader consensus favoring "No," though model uncertainties in undetected small objects remain.