Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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