Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors trader consensus around 17–18 °C, as higher dew points and light winds reduce the potential for stronger drops below 15 °C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 12–13 °C, yet current steering patterns and stable high pressure have shifted probabilities upward. Model spreads remain narrow, with key variables including exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the low settles at 17 °C or edges to 18 °C before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
18°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
13%
11°C
53%
12°C
54%
13°C
53%
14°C
97%
15°C
96%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
18°C 100%
19°C or higher 100%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
10°C
$63 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
53%
12°C
$0 Vol.
54%
13°C
$0 Vol.
53%
14°C
$0 Vol.
97%
15°C
$0 Vol.
96%
16°C
$0 Vol.
98%
17°C
$20 Vol.
98%
18°C
$5 Vol.
100%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors trader consensus around 17–18 °C, as higher dew points and light winds reduce the potential for stronger drops below 15 °C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 12–13 °C, yet current steering patterns and stable high pressure have shifted probabilities upward. Model spreads remain narrow, with key variables including exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the low settles at 17 °C or edges to 18 °C before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$98Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors trader consensus around 17–18 °C, as higher dew points and light winds reduce the potential for stronger drops below 15 °C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 12–13 °C, yet current steering patterns and stable high pressure have shifted probabilities upward. Model spreads remain narrow, with key variables including exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the low settles at 17 °C or edges to 18 °C before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors trader consensus around 17–18 °C, as higher dew points and light winds reduce the potential for stronger drops below 15 °C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 12–13 °C, yet current steering patterns and stable high pressure have shifted probabilities upward. Model spreads remain narrow, with key variables including exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture determining whether the low settles at 17 °C or edges to 18 °C before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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