**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2 around 23–24°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook) project a daytime high near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with intervals of showers or thunderstorms, typical of the ongoing rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m), keeping maxima close to the early-September climatological average of 22–24°C. Slight model spread around the timing and intensity of rain accounts for the secondary probability on 25°C, while the low odds on 26°C+ reflect the unlikelihood of clearing skies or drier conditions. No anomalous warming signals or major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and model consensus position the highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2 around 23–24°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and The Weather Outlook) project a daytime high near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with intervals of showers or thunderstorms, typical of the ongoing rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m), keeping maxima close to the early-September climatological average of 22–24°C. Slight model spread around the timing and intensity of rain accounts for the secondary probability on 25°C, while the low odds on 26°C+ reflect the unlikelihood of clearing skies or drier conditions. No anomalous warming signals or major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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