Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 3 near 17°C, driven by northwest flow and partial clearing after overnight showers, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of 15.9°C while above recent cooler analogs. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew point can alter overnight minima by 1–2°C, with traders weighing the balance between 25°C-or-higher and sub-15°C outcomes against the narrow central cluster around 17–20°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on September 3?
25°C or higher 85%
15°C or below 84%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
15°C or below
84%
16°C
4%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
15°C or below 84%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
15°C or below
84%
16°C
4%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 3 near 17°C, driven by northwest flow and partial clearing after overnight showers, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of 15.9°C while above recent cooler analogs. Market-implied odds remain closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew point can alter overnight minima by 1–2°C, with traders weighing the balance between 25°C-or-higher and sub-15°C outcomes against the narrow central cluster around 17–20°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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