**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 19°C low for Istanbul on September 6, 2026, at an 83% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among official forecasts and models.** Early September conditions feature clear to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure, with light to moderate northeasterly winds. Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency guidance, converge on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C after daytime highs of 27–29°C. Current early-morning readings around 20–21°C and dew points in the mid-teens support this range without rapid cooling. Lower outcomes (17°C or below) carry reduced but non-zero odds due to minor model spread and potential for localized microclimate effects near the Bosphorus. Warmer results above 20°C show negligible probability given the observed cooling trend and lack of warm advection. No major weather systems or forecast revisions have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift this consensus. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at a primary station such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
17°C 43%
18°C 42%
15°C 25%
13°C or below 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
9%
17°C
43%
18°C
42%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
18°C 42%
15°C 25%
13°C or below 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
12%
14°C
$5 Vol.
10%
15°C
$15 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C
$1 Vol.
42%
19°C
$122 Vol.
50%
20°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 19°C low for Istanbul on September 6, 2026, at an 83% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among official forecasts and models.**
Early September conditions feature clear to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure, with light to moderate northeasterly winds. Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency guidance, converge on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C after daytime highs of 27–29°C. Current early-morning readings around 20–21°C and dew points in the mid-teens support this range without rapid cooling.
Lower outcomes (17°C or below) carry reduced but non-zero odds due to minor model spread and potential for localized microclimate effects near the Bosphorus. Warmer results above 20°C show negligible probability given the observed cooling trend and lack of warm advection. No major weather systems or forecast revisions have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift this consensus. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at a primary station such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$554Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 19°C low for Istanbul on September 6, 2026, at an 83% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among official forecasts and models.**
Early September conditions feature clear to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure, with light to moderate northeasterly winds. Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency guidance, converge on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C after daytime highs of 27–29°C. Current early-morning readings around 20–21°C and dew points in the mid-teens support this range without rapid cooling.
Lower outcomes (17°C or below) carry reduced but non-zero odds due to minor model spread and potential for localized microclimate effects near the Bosphorus. Warmer results above 20°C show negligible probability given the observed cooling trend and lack of warm advection. No major weather systems or forecast revisions have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift this consensus. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at a primary station such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$554Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 19°C low for Istanbul on September 6, 2026, at an 83% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among official forecasts and models.** Early September conditions feature clear to mostly clear skies under stable high pressure, with light to moderate northeasterly winds. Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and agency guidance, converge on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C after daytime highs of 27–29°C. Current early-morning readings around 20–21°C and dew points in the mid-teens support this range without rapid cooling. Lower outcomes (17°C or below) carry reduced but non-zero odds due to minor model spread and potential for localized microclimate effects near the Bosphorus. Warmer results above 20°C show negligible probability given the observed cooling trend and lack of warm advection. No major weather systems or forecast revisions have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift this consensus. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at a primary station such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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