Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal will drive thunderstorms, gusty winds, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh through September 25–26, coinciding with the early stages of southwest monsoon withdrawal. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and humidity that moderates nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 23°C in Lucknow with limited potential for sharp drops below 20°C or spikes above 25°C. Model consensus highlights steering winds and precipitation timing as key variables that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating the observed near-even split in market-implied odds between cooler and warmer outcomes. Updated IMD briefings on September 24 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 25?
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 50%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
17°C or below
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
98%
27°C or higher 98%
17°C or below 50%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
17°C or below
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal will drive thunderstorms, gusty winds, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh through September 25–26, coinciding with the early stages of southwest monsoon withdrawal. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and humidity that moderates nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 23°C in Lucknow with limited potential for sharp drops below 20°C or spikes above 25°C. Model consensus highlights steering winds and precipitation timing as key variables that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, creating the observed near-even split in market-implied odds between cooler and warmer outcomes. Updated IMD briefings on September 24 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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