Uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Manila's nocturnal minimum temperature on September 2 drives the closely matched market odds around 27°C and 31°C or higher. The southwest monsoon and any incoming tropical wave or low-pressure system could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows near or above 27–28°C. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would allow greater heat loss, potentially dropping the minimum toward 25–26°C. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–26°C, but interannual variability from ENSO influences and model spread in the 48–72 hour window keep outcomes finely balanced. Updated guidance from PAGASA or global ensembles on steering patterns and precipitation timing will likely shift sentiment next.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
31°C or higher 100%
29°C 98%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
86%
22°C
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
100%
25°C
94%
26°C
97%
27°C
100%
28°C
46%
29°C
98%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
100%
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
31°C or higher 100%
29°C 98%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
86%
22°C
$5 Vol.
13%
23°C
$21 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
94%
26°C
$0 Vol.
97%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$1 Vol.
98%
30°C
$5 Vol.
18%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Manila's nocturnal minimum temperature on September 2 drives the closely matched market odds around 27°C and 31°C or higher. The southwest monsoon and any incoming tropical wave or low-pressure system could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows near or above 27–28°C. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would allow greater heat loss, potentially dropping the minimum toward 25–26°C. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–26°C, but interannual variability from ENSO influences and model spread in the 48–72 hour window keep outcomes finely balanced. Updated guidance from PAGASA or global ensembles on steering patterns and precipitation timing will likely shift sentiment next.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$42Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Manila's nocturnal minimum temperature on September 2 drives the closely matched market odds around 27°C and 31°C or higher. The southwest monsoon and any incoming tropical wave or low-pressure system could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows near or above 27–28°C. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would allow greater heat loss, potentially dropping the minimum toward 25–26°C. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–26°C, but interannual variability from ENSO influences and model spread in the 48–72 hour window keep outcomes finely balanced. Updated guidance from PAGASA or global ensembles on steering patterns and precipitation timing will likely shift sentiment next.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Manila's nocturnal minimum temperature on September 2 drives the closely matched market odds around 27°C and 31°C or higher. The southwest monsoon and any incoming tropical wave or low-pressure system could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows near or above 27–28°C. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would allow greater heat loss, potentially dropping the minimum toward 25–26°C. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–26°C, but interannual variability from ENSO influences and model spread in the 48–72 hour window keep outcomes finely balanced. Updated guidance from PAGASA or global ensembles on steering patterns and precipitation timing will likely shift sentiment next.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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