Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 18?
5°C or below 83%
15°C or higher 82%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
83%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
30%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C or higher
82%
5°C or below 83%
15°C or higher 82%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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