Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
30°C 44%
27°C 44%
22°C or below 42%
32°C or higher 39%
22°C or below
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
31%
27°C
44%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
44%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
39%
30°C 44%
27°C 44%
22°C or below 42%
32°C or higher 39%
22°C or below
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
31%
27°C
44%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
44%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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