Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
27°C 35%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
24°C 25%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
31%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
26°C 31%
28°C 28%
24°C 25%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
31%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 22 overnight low near 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (typically 80%+) and frequent summer precipitation moderate temperature drops compared to drier nights, while steering patterns and any weak tropical moisture influences keep conditions close to August climatological averages of 26°C lows. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, which could shift minima by 1–2°C depending on convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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