Forecast models from Environment Canada, NOAA ensembles, and GFS runs indicate Toronto’s overnight low on August 22 will likely settle in the 16–18 °C range under a warm, moist southerly flow with increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms after sunset. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer historical analogs, keeping the minimum well above the long-term 17.2 °C average low. Recent model consensus has shown only modest shifts in dew-point and wind forecasts, sustaining market-implied probabilities clustered around the mid-teens while the lower tail (≤9 °C) retains weight from residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria for this single-day minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
9°C or below 38%
13°C 32%
18°C 31%
19°C or higher 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
38%
10°C
23%
11°C
9%
12°C
23%
13°C
32%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
29%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 32%
18°C 31%
19°C or higher 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$25 Vol.
38%
10°C
$25 Vol.
23%
11°C
$25 Vol.
9%
12°C
$25 Vol.
23%
13°C
$25 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada, NOAA ensembles, and GFS runs indicate Toronto’s overnight low on August 22 will likely settle in the 16–18 °C range under a warm, moist southerly flow with increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms after sunset. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer historical analogs, keeping the minimum well above the long-term 17.2 °C average low. Recent model consensus has shown only modest shifts in dew-point and wind forecasts, sustaining market-implied probabilities clustered around the mid-teens while the lower tail (≤9 °C) retains weight from residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria for this single-day minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$125Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada, NOAA ensembles, and GFS runs indicate Toronto’s overnight low on August 22 will likely settle in the 16–18 °C range under a warm, moist southerly flow with increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms after sunset. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer historical analogs, keeping the minimum well above the long-term 17.2 °C average low. Recent model consensus has shown only modest shifts in dew-point and wind forecasts, sustaining market-implied probabilities clustered around the mid-teens while the lower tail (≤9 °C) retains weight from residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria for this single-day minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada, NOAA ensembles, and GFS runs indicate Toronto’s overnight low on August 22 will likely settle in the 16–18 °C range under a warm, moist southerly flow with increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms after sunset. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer historical analogs, keeping the minimum well above the long-term 17.2 °C average low. Recent model consensus has shown only modest shifts in dew-point and wind forecasts, sustaining market-implied probabilities clustered around the mid-teens while the lower tail (≤9 °C) retains weight from residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria for this single-day minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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