Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, with traders pricing a 90.6% "No" probability on his exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts like health issues, coalition collapse, or no-confidence motions. In March 2026, Modi marked a historic milestone as India's longest-serving leader of an elected government at 8,931 days, bolstered by stable NDA alliances post-2024 Lok Sabha results and ongoing economic priorities in the 2026-27 budget. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March assertions of an impending end to Modi's tenure, have failed to sway sentiment amid routine state assembly elections in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, whose outcomes pose no immediate threat to the national executive ahead of the 2029 general election. Late-breaking scandals or diplomatic shocks could shift odds, but current trader consensus underscores sustained stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$21,450 Vol.
$21,450 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$21,450 Vol.
$21,450 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, with traders pricing a 90.6% "No" probability on his exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts like health issues, coalition collapse, or no-confidence motions. In March 2026, Modi marked a historic milestone as India's longest-serving leader of an elected government at 8,931 days, bolstered by stable NDA alliances post-2024 Lok Sabha results and ongoing economic priorities in the 2026-27 budget. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March assertions of an impending end to Modi's tenure, have failed to sway sentiment amid routine state assembly elections in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, whose outcomes pose no immediate threat to the national executive ahead of the 2029 general election. Late-breaking scandals or diplomatic shocks could shift odds, but current trader consensus underscores sustained stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$21,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, with traders pricing a 90.6% "No" probability on his exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts like health issues, coalition collapse, or no-confidence motions. In March 2026, Modi marked a historic milestone as India's longest-serving leader of an elected government at 8,931 days, bolstered by stable NDA alliances post-2024 Lok Sabha results and ongoing economic priorities in the 2026-27 budget. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March assertions of an impending end to Modi's tenure, have failed to sway sentiment amid routine state assembly elections in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, whose outcomes pose no immediate threat to the national executive ahead of the 2029 general election. Late-breaking scandals or diplomatic shocks could shift odds, but current trader consensus underscores sustained stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, with traders pricing a 90.6% "No" probability on his exit by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts like health issues, coalition collapse, or no-confidence motions. In March 2026, Modi marked a historic milestone as India's longest-serving leader of an elected government at 8,931 days, bolstered by stable NDA alliances post-2024 Lok Sabha results and ongoing economic priorities in the 2026-27 budget. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March assertions of an impending end to Modi's tenure, have failed to sway sentiment amid routine state assembly elections in Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, whose outcomes pose no immediate threat to the national executive ahead of the 2029 general election. Late-breaking scandals or diplomatic shocks could shift odds, but current trader consensus underscores sustained stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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