Narendra Modi’s current Lok Sabha term runs until 2029 with no national elections scheduled before then, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain prime minister through December 2026. The BJP-led NDA maintains a working majority, and recent state-level outreach plus delimitation preparations signal focus on extending power rather than internal upheaval. Modi marked a record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026, while an August survey showed him still the top choice for the role despite a modest popularity dip. A July student protest over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader leadership challenge or parliamentary instability. Diplomatic hosting of the BRICS summit in September further underscores continuity in his role. These structural and political factors underpin the 93.8% implied probability that Modi stays in office.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% tsansa
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% tsansa
$252,183 Vol.
$252,183 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s current Lok Sabha term runs until 2029 with no national elections scheduled before then, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain prime minister through December 2026. The BJP-led NDA maintains a working majority, and recent state-level outreach plus delimitation preparations signal focus on extending power rather than internal upheaval. Modi marked a record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026, while an August survey showed him still the top choice for the role despite a modest popularity dip. A July student protest over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader leadership challenge or parliamentary instability. Diplomatic hosting of the BRICS summit in September further underscores continuity in his role. These structural and political factors underpin the 93.8% implied probability that Modi stays in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$252,183Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s current Lok Sabha term runs until 2029 with no national elections scheduled before then, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain prime minister through December 2026. The BJP-led NDA maintains a working majority, and recent state-level outreach plus delimitation preparations signal focus on extending power rather than internal upheaval. Modi marked a record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026, while an August survey showed him still the top choice for the role despite a modest popularity dip. A July student protest over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader leadership challenge or parliamentary instability. Diplomatic hosting of the BRICS summit in September further underscores continuity in his role. These structural and political factors underpin the 93.8% implied probability that Modi stays in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252,183Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s current Lok Sabha term runs until 2029 with no national elections scheduled before then, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain prime minister through December 2026. The BJP-led NDA maintains a working majority, and recent state-level outreach plus delimitation preparations signal focus on extending power rather than internal upheaval. Modi marked a record as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June 2026, while an August survey showed him still the top choice for the role despite a modest popularity dip. A July student protest over exam irregularities prompted one cabinet resignation but produced no broader leadership challenge or parliamentary instability. Diplomatic hosting of the BRICS summit in September further underscores continuity in his role. These structural and political factors underpin the 93.8% implied probability that Modi stays in office.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong