Google's flagship Gemini Pro line has seen repeated delays for the anticipated 3.5 Pro version, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and internal testing. As of mid-August 2026, only lighter 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash released August 13) have shipped, with Google confirming ongoing partner testing for Pro and early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of slippage—coupled with no confirmed September timeline or major capability demos—has driven trader consensus toward "no release by September 30" at 53.5% implied probability. September-specific dates carry low single-digit odds reflecting residual uncertainty around last-minute internal approvals or quiet API drops, though recent updates emphasize efficiency over frontier Pro releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 30 54%
September 13 8%
September 23 6%
September 2 5%
On or prior to September 1
3%
September 2
5%
September 3
5%
September 4
5%
September 5
5%
September 6
5%
September 7
5%
September 8
4%
September 9
4%
September 10
4%
September 11
5%
September 12
5%
September 13
8%
September 14
5%
September 15
5%
September 16
4%
September 17
3%
September 18
5%
September 19
4%
September 20
5%
September 21
5%
September 22
5%
September 23
6%
September 24
5%
September 25
5%
September 26
5%
September 27
5%
September 28
5%
September 29
3%
September 30
3%
No release by September 30
54%
No release by September 30 54%
September 13 8%
September 23 6%
September 2 5%
On or prior to September 1
3%
September 2
5%
September 3
5%
September 4
5%
September 5
5%
September 6
5%
September 7
5%
September 8
4%
September 9
4%
September 10
4%
September 11
5%
September 12
5%
September 13
8%
September 14
5%
September 15
5%
September 16
4%
September 17
3%
September 18
5%
September 19
4%
September 20
5%
September 21
5%
September 22
5%
September 23
6%
September 24
5%
September 25
5%
September 26
5%
September 27
5%
September 28
5%
September 29
3%
September 30
3%
No release by September 30
54%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's flagship Gemini Pro line has seen repeated delays for the anticipated 3.5 Pro version, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and internal testing. As of mid-August 2026, only lighter 3.x Flash variants (including 3.7 Flash released August 13) have shipped, with Google confirming ongoing partner testing for Pro and early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of slippage—coupled with no confirmed September timeline or major capability demos—has driven trader consensus toward "no release by September 30" at 53.5% implied probability. September-specific dates carry low single-digit odds reflecting residual uncertainty around last-minute internal approvals or quiet API drops, though recent updates emphasize efficiency over frontier Pro releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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