Republican Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd district, a seat Republicans have held since its creation. The June 9 primaries produced Republican David Flippo, backed late by President Trump, against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, combined with a roughly 3-to-2 Republican registration edge, anchors trader pricing near 72.5% for the Republican nominee. Limited public polling and the absence of a Democratic breakthrough in prior cycles reinforce the consensus, though the open-seat dynamic and November general election timeline leave room for shifts tied to turnout or late campaign developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNV-02 House Election Winner
$19,963 Vol.
$19,963 Vol.
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
28%
$19,963 Vol.
$19,963 Vol.
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Mark Amodei’s February 2026 retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd district, a seat Republicans have held since its creation. The June 9 primaries produced Republican David Flippo, backed late by President Trump, against Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, combined with a roughly 3-to-2 Republican registration edge, anchors trader pricing near 72.5% for the Republican nominee. Limited public polling and the absence of a Democratic breakthrough in prior cycles reinforce the consensus, though the open-seat dynamic and November general election timeline leave room for shifts tied to turnout or late campaign developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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