The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement announcement earlier this year, has drawn large primary fields from both parties ahead of the June 9 contests and November general election. Yet the district’s R+7 partisan voting index, more than 3-to-2 Republican registration edge, and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles continue to shape trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democratic contenders, including self-funder Greg Kidd and former Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson, view the vacancy as a rare opening, but the seat has remained in Republican hands since its creation. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting these structural factors over any short-term primary dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNV-02 House Election Winner
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
27%
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement announcement earlier this year, has drawn large primary fields from both parties ahead of the June 9 contests and November general election. Yet the district’s R+7 partisan voting index, more than 3-to-2 Republican registration edge, and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles continue to shape trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democratic contenders, including self-funder Greg Kidd and former Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson, view the vacancy as a rare opening, but the seat has remained in Republican hands since its creation. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting these structural factors over any short-term primary dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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