Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which has trended Democratic in recent cycles and gave Kamala Harris an eight-point margin in 2024 while Scholten won reelection by ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's established position ahead of the 2026 general election. Republican primary candidates have begun filing, but the district's composition and historical results position Democrats as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the House race outcome. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
8%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$478 Vol.
67%
Republican Party
$163 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which has trended Democratic in recent cycles and gave Kamala Harris an eight-point margin in 2024 while Scholten won reelection by ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's established position ahead of the 2026 general election. Republican primary candidates have begun filing, but the district's composition and historical results position Democrats as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the House race outcome. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$641Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which has trended Democratic in recent cycles and gave Kamala Harris an eight-point margin in 2024 while Scholten won reelection by ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's established position ahead of the 2026 general election. Republican primary candidates have begun filing, but the district's composition and historical results position Democrats as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the House race outcome. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$641Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which has trended Democratic in recent cycles and gave Kamala Harris an eight-point margin in 2024 while Scholten won reelection by ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's established position ahead of the 2026 general election. Republican primary candidates have begun filing, but the district's composition and historical results position Democrats as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments of the House race outcome. No major developments in the past month have altered this baseline outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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