Hakeem Jeffries, the House Democratic Minority Leader and incumbent since 2013, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York's 8th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+24 and Jeffries' 75% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary in a Brooklyn-based seat covering neighborhoods such as Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, and Coney Island. With no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or late developments reported since the primaries, the wide implied probability gap aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. A Democratic victory could still face remote disruption from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing exceeding recent cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,547 Vol.
$32,547 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$32,547 Vol.
$32,547 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,093 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,454 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the House Democratic Minority Leader and incumbent since 2013, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York's 8th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+24 and Jeffries' 75% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary in a Brooklyn-based seat covering neighborhoods such as Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, and Coney Island. With no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or late developments reported since the primaries, the wide implied probability gap aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. A Democratic victory could still face remote disruption from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing exceeding recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the House Democratic Minority Leader and incumbent since 2013, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York's 8th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+24 and Jeffries' 75% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary in a Brooklyn-based seat covering neighborhoods such as Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, and Coney Island. With no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or late developments reported since the primaries, the wide implied probability gap aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. A Democratic victory could still face remote disruption from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing exceeding recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the House Democratic Minority Leader and incumbent since 2013, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November 3, 2026 general election for New York's 8th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+24 and Jeffries' 75% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary in a Brooklyn-based seat covering neighborhoods such as Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, and Coney Island. With no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or late developments reported since the primaries, the wide implied probability gap aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. A Democratic victory could still face remote disruption from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing exceeding recent cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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