Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The March 2026 decision by incumbent Republican Kevin Hern to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing a crowded field of more than ten Republican primary contenders ahead of the June 16, 2026, vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and the structural advantages for the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The March 2026 decision by incumbent Republican Kevin Hern to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing a crowded field of more than ten Republican primary contenders ahead of the June 16, 2026, vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and the structural advantages for the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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