Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$24,782 Vol.
$24,782 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$24,782 Vol.
$24,782 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,928 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,782Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,782Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the July 2026 primary, where Mark Tedford secured the nomination in a crowded field and advanced without a runoff. The open seat, previously held by Republican Kevin Hern, features Democrat John Croisant as the general-election opponent. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration advantages, and Trump’s endorsement of Tedford have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this Tulsa-area district. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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