Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead by roughly six points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent to Jonathan Nez’s 42 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries in this rural district encompassing Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American communities. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, draws strong support in tribal areas but trails overall amid the seat’s partisan voting index. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that factors in incumbency, fundraising differentials, and limited recent shifts in the race.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
68%
Jonathan Nez (D)
30%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 Vol.
68%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead by roughly six points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent to Jonathan Nez’s 42 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries in this rural district encompassing Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American communities. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, draws strong support in tribal areas but trails overall amid the seat’s partisan voting index. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that factors in incumbency, fundraising differentials, and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$3,608Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead by roughly six points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent to Jonathan Nez’s 42 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries in this rural district encompassing Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American communities. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, draws strong support in tribal areas but trails overall amid the seat’s partisan voting index. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that factors in incumbency, fundraising differentials, and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,608Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory margin. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead by roughly six points, with a late-August survey placing him at 53 percent to Jonathan Nez’s 42 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries in this rural district encompassing Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American communities. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, draws strong support in tribal areas but trails overall amid the seat’s partisan voting index. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that factors in incumbency, fundraising differentials, and limited recent shifts in the race.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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