Redistricting shifted Florida's 14th district into more Republican-leaning territory within Hillsborough County, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 11 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor nevertheless holds a polling and fundraising edge heading into the November general election. Mike Beltran emerged from the August Republican primary as the nominee after defeating several challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters remain divided between toss-up and lean Republican, reflecting Castor's long tenure and name recognition against the altered partisan baseline. Trader pricing appears to weigh these competing factors in a contest with no other major scheduled events before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
36%
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,316 Vol.
62%
Republican Party
$16,890 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Florida's 14th district into more Republican-leaning territory within Hillsborough County, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 11 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor nevertheless holds a polling and fundraising edge heading into the November general election. Mike Beltran emerged from the August Republican primary as the nominee after defeating several challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters remain divided between toss-up and lean Republican, reflecting Castor's long tenure and name recognition against the altered partisan baseline. Trader pricing appears to weigh these competing factors in a contest with no other major scheduled events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$35,206Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Florida's 14th district into more Republican-leaning territory within Hillsborough County, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 11 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor nevertheless holds a polling and fundraising edge heading into the November general election. Mike Beltran emerged from the August Republican primary as the nominee after defeating several challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters remain divided between toss-up and lean Republican, reflecting Castor's long tenure and name recognition against the altered partisan baseline. Trader pricing appears to weigh these competing factors in a contest with no other major scheduled events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,206Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted Florida's 14th district into more Republican-leaning territory within Hillsborough County, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 11 points in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor nevertheless holds a polling and fundraising edge heading into the November general election. Mike Beltran emerged from the August Republican primary as the nominee after defeating several challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters remain divided between toss-up and lean Republican, reflecting Castor's long tenure and name recognition against the altered partisan baseline. Trader pricing appears to weigh these competing factors in a contest with no other major scheduled events before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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