Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Released under investigation by Metropolitan Police, the Crown Prosecution Service has yet to authorize prosecution despite searches of his home and House of Commons approval for releasing trade envoy documents. Prior sexual assault allegations from Virginia Giuffre resulted only in a 2022 civil settlement, with UK authorities declining criminal probes. Recent developments, including his Easter absence and calls to relinquish Freedom of the City of London, signal reputational damage but no judicial escalation, underscoring evidentiary barriers to conviction and imprisonment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$206,394 Vol.
$206,394 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$206,394 Vol.
$206,394 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Released under investigation by Metropolitan Police, the Crown Prosecution Service has yet to authorize prosecution despite searches of his home and House of Commons approval for releasing trade envoy documents. Prior sexual assault allegations from Virginia Giuffre resulted only in a 2022 civil settlement, with UK authorities declining criminal probes. Recent developments, including his Easter absence and calls to relinquish Freedom of the City of London, signal reputational damage but no judicial escalation, underscoring evidentiary barriers to conviction and imprisonment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$206,394Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Released under investigation by Metropolitan Police, the Crown Prosecution Service has yet to authorize prosecution despite searches of his home and House of Commons approval for releasing trade envoy documents. Prior sexual assault allegations from Virginia Giuffre resulted only in a 2022 civil settlement, with UK authorities declining criminal probes. Recent developments, including his Easter absence and calls to relinquish Freedom of the City of London, signal reputational damage but no judicial escalation, underscoring evidentiary barriers to conviction and imprisonment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$206,394Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Released under investigation by Metropolitan Police, the Crown Prosecution Service has yet to authorize prosecution despite searches of his home and House of Commons approval for releasing trade envoy documents. Prior sexual assault allegations from Virginia Giuffre resulted only in a 2022 civil settlement, with UK authorities declining criminal probes. Recent developments, including his Easter absence and calls to relinquish Freedom of the City of London, signal reputational damage but no judicial escalation, underscoring evidentiary barriers to conviction and imprisonment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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