Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th congressional district, reflecting an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showing him at 50% to incumbent Monica De La Cruz’s 45%. The 2025 redistricting shifted the Rio Grande Valley seat toward Republicans, with a Trump +18 margin in 2024 and R+7 partisan voting index, yet Pulido’s strong name recognition as a Tejano musician and his 67.5% primary win have kept the race competitive. Forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican, though Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists it as a toss-up. De La Cruz leads in fundraising, but recent head-to-head surveys and the district’s Hispanic voter base have supported the current implied probabilities heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$17,582 Vol.
$17,582 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
46%
$17,582 Vol.
$17,582 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,856 Vol.
56%
Republican Party
$10,725 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th congressional district, reflecting an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showing him at 50% to incumbent Monica De La Cruz’s 45%. The 2025 redistricting shifted the Rio Grande Valley seat toward Republicans, with a Trump +18 margin in 2024 and R+7 partisan voting index, yet Pulido’s strong name recognition as a Tejano musician and his 67.5% primary win have kept the race competitive. Forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican, though Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists it as a toss-up. De La Cruz leads in fundraising, but recent head-to-head surveys and the district’s Hispanic voter base have supported the current implied probabilities heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$17,582Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th congressional district, reflecting an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showing him at 50% to incumbent Monica De La Cruz’s 45%. The 2025 redistricting shifted the Rio Grande Valley seat toward Republicans, with a Trump +18 margin in 2024 and R+7 partisan voting index, yet Pulido’s strong name recognition as a Tejano musician and his 67.5% primary win have kept the race competitive. Forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican, though Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists it as a toss-up. De La Cruz leads in fundraising, but recent head-to-head surveys and the district’s Hispanic voter base have supported the current implied probabilities heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,582Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th congressional district, reflecting an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showing him at 50% to incumbent Monica De La Cruz’s 45%. The 2025 redistricting shifted the Rio Grande Valley seat toward Republicans, with a Trump +18 margin in 2024 and R+7 partisan voting index, yet Pulido’s strong name recognition as a Tejano musician and his 67.5% primary win have kept the race competitive. Forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican, though Sabato’s Crystal Ball lists it as a toss-up. De La Cruz leads in fundraising, but recent head-to-head surveys and the district’s Hispanic voter base have supported the current implied probabilities heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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