Republican Michael Baumgartner, the incumbent who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers's retirement, advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 20 percent. The eastern Washington district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in its Safe Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Baumgartner's prior 60 percent general-election margin. Recent polling shows the incumbent leading Conroy by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, with limited signs of shifting momentum in the short resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$33,584 Vol.
$33,584 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
23%
$33,584 Vol.
$33,584 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,146 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$20,438 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Michael Baumgartner, the incumbent who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers's retirement, advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 20 percent. The eastern Washington district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in its Safe Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Baumgartner's prior 60 percent general-election margin. Recent polling shows the incumbent leading Conroy by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, with limited signs of shifting momentum in the short resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$33,584Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Michael Baumgartner, the incumbent who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers's retirement, advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 20 percent. The eastern Washington district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in its Safe Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Baumgartner's prior 60 percent general-election margin. Recent polling shows the incumbent leading Conroy by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, with limited signs of shifting momentum in the short resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,584Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Michael Baumgartner, the incumbent who won the seat in 2024 following Cathy McMorris Rodgers's retirement, advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, ahead of Democrat Carmela Conroy at 20 percent. The eastern Washington district has long favored Republicans in House races, reflected in its Safe Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Baumgartner's prior 60 percent general-election margin. Recent polling shows the incumbent leading Conroy by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3 general election, with limited signs of shifting momentum in the short resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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