Senate negotiators including Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar are advancing a targeted AI safety measure focused on catastrophic risks, third-party audits, and Commerce Department oversight for frontier models, yet the bill remains in draft form with unresolved differences over enforcement standards and state preemption. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and signaled reluctance to sign new regulatory frameworks. With midterms weeks away, the House calendar is compressed, multiple competing drafts face opposition on liability and preemption provisions, and no comprehensive bill has cleared both chambers. Traders price the 85.5% No probability around these procedural barriers and the narrow window before December 31, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
15% tsansa
$106,947 Vol.
$106,947 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
15% tsansa
$106,947 Vol.
$106,947 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Senate negotiators including Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar are advancing a targeted AI safety measure focused on catastrophic risks, third-party audits, and Commerce Department oversight for frontier models, yet the bill remains in draft form with unresolved differences over enforcement standards and state preemption. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and signaled reluctance to sign new regulatory frameworks. With midterms weeks away, the House calendar is compressed, multiple competing drafts face opposition on liability and preemption provisions, and no comprehensive bill has cleared both chambers. Traders price the 85.5% No probability around these procedural barriers and the narrow window before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$106,947Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Senate negotiators including Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar are advancing a targeted AI safety measure focused on catastrophic risks, third-party audits, and Commerce Department oversight for frontier models, yet the bill remains in draft form with unresolved differences over enforcement standards and state preemption. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and signaled reluctance to sign new regulatory frameworks. With midterms weeks away, the House calendar is compressed, multiple competing drafts face opposition on liability and preemption provisions, and no comprehensive bill has cleared both chambers. Traders price the 85.5% No probability around these procedural barriers and the narrow window before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,947Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate negotiators including Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar are advancing a targeted AI safety measure focused on catastrophic risks, third-party audits, and Commerce Department oversight for frontier models, yet the bill remains in draft form with unresolved differences over enforcement standards and state preemption. President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and signaled reluctance to sign new regulatory frameworks. With midterms weeks away, the House calendar is compressed, multiple competing drafts face opposition on liability and preemption provisions, and no comprehensive bill has cleared both chambers. Traders price the 85.5% No probability around these procedural barriers and the narrow window before December 31, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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