Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have narrowed to $55.9 billion in April 2026, with the trailing twelve-month total at roughly $718 billion, following 2025’s full-year figure of about $901 billion. Export growth in capital goods, industrial supplies, and energy products has outpaced import increases amid ongoing tariff effects that curbed post-front-loading demand. CBO projections show nominal exports expanding faster than imports through the decade due to tariff impacts and dollar movements, supporting expectations of stability or modest narrowing relative to recent annual levels. Trader pricing centers on the 800–900 billion range as the most probable outcome, reflecting these short-term trends and structural macroeconomic balances between savings, investment, and trade flows.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$21,256 Vol.
$21,256 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
5%
500–600B
4%
600–700B
10%
700–800B
10%
800–900B
36%
900B–1T
17%
1T–1.1T
5%
1.1T+
4%
$21,256 Vol.
$21,256 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,808 Vol.
5%
500–600B
$413 Vol.
4%
600–700B
$505 Vol.
10%
700–800B
$456 Vol.
10%
800–900B
$1,008 Vol.
36%
900B–1T
$984 Vol.
17%
1T–1.1T
$447 Vol.
5%
1.1T+
$635 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have narrowed to $55.9 billion in April 2026, with the trailing twelve-month total at roughly $718 billion, following 2025’s full-year figure of about $901 billion. Export growth in capital goods, industrial supplies, and energy products has outpaced import increases amid ongoing tariff effects that curbed post-front-loading demand. CBO projections show nominal exports expanding faster than imports through the decade due to tariff impacts and dollar movements, supporting expectations of stability or modest narrowing relative to recent annual levels. Trader pricing centers on the 800–900 billion range as the most probable outcome, reflecting these short-term trends and structural macroeconomic balances between savings, investment, and trade flows.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$21,256Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have narrowed to $55.9 billion in April 2026, with the trailing twelve-month total at roughly $718 billion, following 2025’s full-year figure of about $901 billion. Export growth in capital goods, industrial supplies, and energy products has outpaced import increases amid ongoing tariff effects that curbed post-front-loading demand. CBO projections show nominal exports expanding faster than imports through the decade due to tariff impacts and dollar movements, supporting expectations of stability or modest narrowing relative to recent annual levels. Trader pricing centers on the 800–900 billion range as the most probable outcome, reflecting these short-term trends and structural macroeconomic balances between savings, investment, and trade flows.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Volume
$21,256Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have narrowed to $55.9 billion in April 2026, with the trailing twelve-month total at roughly $718 billion, following 2025’s full-year figure of about $901 billion. Export growth in capital goods, industrial supplies, and energy products has outpaced import increases amid ongoing tariff effects that curbed post-front-loading demand. CBO projections show nominal exports expanding faster than imports through the decade due to tariff impacts and dollar movements, supporting expectations of stability or modest narrowing relative to recent annual levels. Trader pricing centers on the 800–900 billion range as the most probable outcome, reflecting these short-term trends and structural macroeconomic balances between savings, investment, and trade flows.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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