March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—released April 10 amid a 10.9% energy price spike tied to Iran conflict escalation, pushing Polymarket trader consensus toward 90% odds of peak inflation exceeding 3.5% this year while pricing above 4% at roughly 50%. Core CPI climbed to 2.6%, aligning with sticky services pressures, though February PCE remained at 2.8% headline and 3.0% core. Fed's March 18 dot plot projects PCE inflation ending 2026 at 2.7%, up from prior forecasts, signaling reflation risks against 2% target. Upcoming April 28-29 FOMC and May 12 April CPI release loom as catalysts, with robust labor data bolstering upside inflation concerns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$670,773 Vol.
Higit sa 3.5%
84%
Higit sa 4%
32%
Higit sa 5%
19%
Higit sa 6%
14%
Higit sa 8%
8%
Higit sa 10%
4%
$670,773 Vol.
Higit sa 3.5%
84%
Higit sa 4%
32%
Higit sa 5%
19%
Higit sa 6%
14%
Higit sa 8%
8%
Higit sa 10%
4%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—released April 10 amid a 10.9% energy price spike tied to Iran conflict escalation, pushing Polymarket trader consensus toward 90% odds of peak inflation exceeding 3.5% this year while pricing above 4% at roughly 50%. Core CPI climbed to 2.6%, aligning with sticky services pressures, though February PCE remained at 2.8% headline and 3.0% core. Fed's March 18 dot plot projects PCE inflation ending 2026 at 2.7%, up from prior forecasts, signaling reflation risks against 2% target. Upcoming April 28-29 FOMC and May 12 April CPI release loom as catalysts, with robust labor data bolstering upside inflation concerns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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