Polymarket's trader consensus prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation—per Statistics Canada year-average measure—in the 3.5-3.9% range at 30% implied probability, amid a fragmented field signaling high uncertainty. February 2026 headline CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from prior GST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim and CPI-median held near 2.3%, with shelter and food pressures persistent. Elevated odds reflect risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions including potential Iran disruptions, US tariffs impacting trade, and wage momentum, contrasting economist forecasts around 2.4%. Bank of Canada held policy rate at 2.25% on March 18; key catalysts include March CPI on April 20 and April 29 Monetary Policy Report.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 19.8%
2.5–2.9% 14.2%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
14%
3.0-3.4%
20%
3.5-3.9%
30%
4.0%+
14%
3.5-3.9% 24.1%
3.0-3.4% 19.8%
2.5–2.9% 14.2%
4.0%+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
14%
3.0-3.4%
20%
3.5-3.9%
30%
4.0%+
14%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket's trader consensus prices Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation—per Statistics Canada year-average measure—in the 3.5-3.9% range at 30% implied probability, amid a fragmented field signaling high uncertainty. February 2026 headline CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from prior GST relief, but core gauges like CPI-trim and CPI-median held near 2.3%, with shelter and food pressures persistent. Elevated odds reflect risks from energy shocks, geopolitical tensions including potential Iran disruptions, US tariffs impacting trade, and wage momentum, contrasting economist forecasts around 2.4%. Bank of Canada held policy rate at 2.25% on March 18; key catalysts include March CPI on April 20 and April 29 Monetary Policy Report.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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