Recent monthly CPI readings show China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% in July 2026, the softest pace since January, driven by four straight months of food price declines amid abundant pork supply and subdued consumer spending. Non-food inflation also moderated as transport costs cooled following government fuel adjustments and retreating global energy prices after earlier Middle East supply strains. With full-year 2025 inflation flat and 2026 forecasts clustered near 1%, traders price the 0.6–1.0% outcome highest, reflecting ongoing weak domestic demand that limits pass-through from producer prices and policy efforts to stimulate consumption. Core inflation near 0.9% and the absence of major upward catalysts through year-end reinforce this range as the consensus view.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.3%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 4.0%
$73,916 Vol.
$73,916 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
4%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.3%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 4.0%
$73,916 Vol.
$73,916 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
4%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings show China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% in July 2026, the softest pace since January, driven by four straight months of food price declines amid abundant pork supply and subdued consumer spending. Non-food inflation also moderated as transport costs cooled following government fuel adjustments and retreating global energy prices after earlier Middle East supply strains. With full-year 2025 inflation flat and 2026 forecasts clustered near 1%, traders price the 0.6–1.0% outcome highest, reflecting ongoing weak domestic demand that limits pass-through from producer prices and policy efforts to stimulate consumption. Core inflation near 0.9% and the absence of major upward catalysts through year-end reinforce this range as the consensus view.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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