**Trader consensus on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, reflected in the 53.4% implied probability for the 30.0-34.9% bucket and 42.0% for 25-29.9%, is anchored by the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters projecting year-end rates near 30%.** Recent monthly prints—1.9% in June and 2.1% in July, yielding a 33.8% y/y annual rate—show disinflation resuming after the March energy-shock bump, aided by fiscal surplus discipline, exchange-rate stability, and moderating core measures near 1.6-1.8%. Seasonal factors lifted July, but August forecasts point to sub-2% readings, supporting the path to a ~30% full-year outcome. Growth revisions to 2.7% and reserve accumulation reinforce the policy framework, while the tight clustering of probabilities around 25-35% underscores limited scope for outsized deviations absent major fiscal or external shocks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update30.0-34.9% 53.4%
25-29.9% 42%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.6%
$42,921 Vol.
$42,921 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
42%
30.0-34.9%
53%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 53.4%
25-29.9% 42%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.6%
$42,921 Vol.
$42,921 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,226 Vol.
1%
25-29.9%
$12,713 Vol.
42%
30.0-34.9%
$11,974 Vol.
53%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, reflected in the 53.4% implied probability for the 30.0-34.9% bucket and 42.0% for 25-29.9%, is anchored by the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters projecting year-end rates near 30%.** Recent monthly prints—1.9% in June and 2.1% in July, yielding a 33.8% y/y annual rate—show disinflation resuming after the March energy-shock bump, aided by fiscal surplus discipline, exchange-rate stability, and moderating core measures near 1.6-1.8%. Seasonal factors lifted July, but August forecasts point to sub-2% readings, supporting the path to a ~30% full-year outcome. Growth revisions to 2.7% and reserve accumulation reinforce the policy framework, while the tight clustering of probabilities around 25-35% underscores limited scope for outsized deviations absent major fiscal or external shocks.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$42,921Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, reflected in the 53.4% implied probability for the 30.0-34.9% bucket and 42.0% for 25-29.9%, is anchored by the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters projecting year-end rates near 30%.** Recent monthly prints—1.9% in June and 2.1% in July, yielding a 33.8% y/y annual rate—show disinflation resuming after the March energy-shock bump, aided by fiscal surplus discipline, exchange-rate stability, and moderating core measures near 1.6-1.8%. Seasonal factors lifted July, but August forecasts point to sub-2% readings, supporting the path to a ~30% full-year outcome. Growth revisions to 2.7% and reserve accumulation reinforce the policy framework, while the tight clustering of probabilities around 25-35% underscores limited scope for outsized deviations absent major fiscal or external shocks.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$42,921Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, reflected in the 53.4% implied probability for the 30.0-34.9% bucket and 42.0% for 25-29.9%, is anchored by the Central Bank’s REM survey and private forecasters projecting year-end rates near 30%.** Recent monthly prints—1.9% in June and 2.1% in July, yielding a 33.8% y/y annual rate—show disinflation resuming after the March energy-shock bump, aided by fiscal surplus discipline, exchange-rate stability, and moderating core measures near 1.6-1.8%. Seasonal factors lifted July, but August forecasts point to sub-2% readings, supporting the path to a ~30% full-year outcome. Growth revisions to 2.7% and reserve accumulation reinforce the policy framework, while the tight clustering of probabilities around 25-35% underscores limited scope for outsized deviations absent major fiscal or external shocks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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