Recent South Korean CPI data, including the August 2026 year-over-year reading at 3.1% (up from 2.8% in July) and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, have elevated trader-implied odds for full-year average outcomes at or above 2.7%, with the 3.0%+ bucket leading at 41.9%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3% and upward revisions to its 2026 headline forecast of 2.7% reflect persistent cost pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and building demand-side inflation amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. Consensus projections from institutions such as KDI and the IMF cluster near 2.5–2.7%, yet recent monthly prints and core trends support market pricing around the 2.7–3.0%+ range. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and further BOK policy signals, with geopolitical and exchange-rate volatility adding uncertainty to the annual average resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.0%+ 41.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 20.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 9.3%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
5%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
21%
3.0%+
42%
3.0%+ 41.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 20.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 9.3%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.8%
$45,104 Vol.
$45,104 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$3,100 Vol.
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,102 Vol.
5%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,862 Vol.
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,778 Vol.
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
$6,641 Vol.
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
$9,402 Vol.
21%
3.0%+
$16,218 Vol.
42%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI data, including the August 2026 year-over-year reading at 3.1% (up from 2.8% in July) and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, have elevated trader-implied odds for full-year average outcomes at or above 2.7%, with the 3.0%+ bucket leading at 41.9%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3% and upward revisions to its 2026 headline forecast of 2.7% reflect persistent cost pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and building demand-side inflation amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. Consensus projections from institutions such as KDI and the IMF cluster near 2.5–2.7%, yet recent monthly prints and core trends support market pricing around the 2.7–3.0%+ range. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and further BOK policy signals, with geopolitical and exchange-rate volatility adding uncertainty to the annual average resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$45,104Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI data, including the August 2026 year-over-year reading at 3.1% (up from 2.8% in July) and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, have elevated trader-implied odds for full-year average outcomes at or above 2.7%, with the 3.0%+ bucket leading at 41.9%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3% and upward revisions to its 2026 headline forecast of 2.7% reflect persistent cost pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and building demand-side inflation amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. Consensus projections from institutions such as KDI and the IMF cluster near 2.5–2.7%, yet recent monthly prints and core trends support market pricing around the 2.7–3.0%+ range. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and further BOK policy signals, with geopolitical and exchange-rate volatility adding uncertainty to the annual average resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$45,104Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korean CPI data, including the August 2026 year-over-year reading at 3.1% (up from 2.8% in July) and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, have elevated trader-implied odds for full-year average outcomes at or above 2.7%, with the 3.0%+ bucket leading at 41.9%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3% and upward revisions to its 2026 headline forecast of 2.7% reflect persistent cost pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and building demand-side inflation amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. Consensus projections from institutions such as KDI and the IMF cluster near 2.5–2.7%, yet recent monthly prints and core trends support market pricing around the 2.7–3.0%+ range. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and further BOK policy signals, with geopolitical and exchange-rate volatility adding uncertainty to the annual average resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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