Recent UK CPI prints show August annual inflation at 3.1%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by higher motor fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. Bank of England projections, updated in the September Monetary Policy Report, now anticipate CPI rising to around 3.75% in 2026 Q4 as energy pass-through intensifies before easing in 2027, with risks tilted higher. Core measures remain steadier near 2.6%, while services inflation holds around 3.4-3.6%. Traders price the September outcome in a tight range because the exact timing and magnitude of fuel cost transmission, alongside any base effects or demand weakness, remain uncertain ahead of the mid-October ONS release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSeptember Inflation UK - Annual
3.1-3.3% 25%
3.7-3.9% 18%
3.4-3.6% 18%
4.0%+ 18%
≤2.7%
14%
2.8-3%
15%
3.1-3.3%
25%
3.4-3.6%
18%
3.7-3.9%
28%
4.0%+
18%
3.1-3.3% 25%
3.7-3.9% 18%
3.4-3.6% 18%
4.0%+ 18%
≤2.7%
14%
2.8-3%
15%
3.1-3.3%
25%
3.4-3.6%
18%
3.7-3.9%
28%
4.0%+
18%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK CPI prints show August annual inflation at 3.1%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by higher motor fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. Bank of England projections, updated in the September Monetary Policy Report, now anticipate CPI rising to around 3.75% in 2026 Q4 as energy pass-through intensifies before easing in 2027, with risks tilted higher. Core measures remain steadier near 2.6%, while services inflation holds around 3.4-3.6%. Traders price the September outcome in a tight range because the exact timing and magnitude of fuel cost transmission, alongside any base effects or demand weakness, remain uncertain ahead of the mid-October ONS release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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