Anthropic's Claude platform has seen repeated service disruptions throughout 2026 driven by 17x year-over-year API volume growth and resulting infrastructure pressure, including multiple July incidents such as elevated errors on July 21-22, 30-31 affecting Sonnet, Opus, Claude Code, and the main API. This pattern of partial outages and degraded performance on high-traffic days has shaped trader consensus around 8-10 downtime days for August, with the 47% implied probability reflecting expectations of continued scaling challenges rather than total stability. Earlier 2026 events in March and June further anchor sentiment, while the absence of August incidents so far and ongoing internal fixes introduce some uncertainty around whether the 11-13 range could materialize if peak loads persist.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Claude go down on __ days in August?
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-10 47%
11-13 27%
14+ 20%
5-7 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
<5
5%
5-7
10%
8-10
47%
11-13
27%
14+
20%
8-10 47%
11-13 27%
14+ 20%
5-7 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
<5
$531 Vol.
5%
5-7
$124 Vol.
10%
8-10
$0 Vol.
47%
11-13
$0 Vol.
27%
14+
$153 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude platform has seen repeated service disruptions throughout 2026 driven by 17x year-over-year API volume growth and resulting infrastructure pressure, including multiple July incidents such as elevated errors on July 21-22, 30-31 affecting Sonnet, Opus, Claude Code, and the main API. This pattern of partial outages and degraded performance on high-traffic days has shaped trader consensus around 8-10 downtime days for August, with the 47% implied probability reflecting expectations of continued scaling challenges rather than total stability. Earlier 2026 events in March and June further anchor sentiment, while the absence of August incidents so far and ongoing internal fixes introduce some uncertainty around whether the 11-13 range could materialize if peak loads persist.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$808Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude platform has seen repeated service disruptions throughout 2026 driven by 17x year-over-year API volume growth and resulting infrastructure pressure, including multiple July incidents such as elevated errors on July 21-22, 30-31 affecting Sonnet, Opus, Claude Code, and the main API. This pattern of partial outages and degraded performance on high-traffic days has shaped trader consensus around 8-10 downtime days for August, with the 47% implied probability reflecting expectations of continued scaling challenges rather than total stability. Earlier 2026 events in March and June further anchor sentiment, while the absence of August incidents so far and ongoing internal fixes introduce some uncertainty around whether the 11-13 range could materialize if peak loads persist.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$808Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude platform has seen repeated service disruptions throughout 2026 driven by 17x year-over-year API volume growth and resulting infrastructure pressure, including multiple July incidents such as elevated errors on July 21-22, 30-31 affecting Sonnet, Opus, Claude Code, and the main API. This pattern of partial outages and degraded performance on high-traffic days has shaped trader consensus around 8-10 downtime days for August, with the 47% implied probability reflecting expectations of continued scaling challenges rather than total stability. Earlier 2026 events in March and June further anchor sentiment, while the absence of August incidents so far and ongoing internal fixes introduce some uncertainty around whether the 11-13 range could materialize if peak loads persist.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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