Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead at around 29% popular support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to 24-27% and the Liberals falling to 20-22%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others indicate the PQ is favored for a plurality but likely to fall short of the 64 seats needed for a majority, with outcomes hinging on tight PQ-CAQ contests across francophone ridings. The CAQ’s gains under new leader Christine Fréchette, combined with a split among federalist voters and persistently high undecided shares exceeding 40%, have reduced the PQ’s projected seat totals into minority territory. The campaign has also shifted focus toward economic pressures from U.S. tariffs, further contributing to volatility in voter intentions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update26% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 5, 2026
26% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead at around 29% popular support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to 24-27% and the Liberals falling to 20-22%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others indicate the PQ is favored for a plurality but likely to fall short of the 64 seats needed for a majority, with outcomes hinging on tight PQ-CAQ contests across francophone ridings. The CAQ’s gains under new leader Christine Fréchette, combined with a split among federalist voters and persistently high undecided shares exceeding 40%, have reduced the PQ’s projected seat totals into minority territory. The campaign has also shifted focus toward economic pressures from U.S. tariffs, further contributing to volatility in voter intentions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Volume
$1,002Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead at around 29% popular support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to 24-27% and the Liberals falling to 20-22%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others indicate the PQ is favored for a plurality but likely to fall short of the 64 seats needed for a majority, with outcomes hinging on tight PQ-CAQ contests across francophone ridings. The CAQ’s gains under new leader Christine Fréchette, combined with a split among federalist voters and persistently high undecided shares exceeding 40%, have reduced the PQ’s projected seat totals into minority territory. The campaign has also shifted focus toward economic pressures from U.S. tariffs, further contributing to volatility in voter intentions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$1,002Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead at around 29% popular support ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising to 24-27% and the Liberals falling to 20-22%. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others indicate the PQ is favored for a plurality but likely to fall short of the 64 seats needed for a majority, with outcomes hinging on tight PQ-CAQ contests across francophone ridings. The CAQ’s gains under new leader Christine Fréchette, combined with a split among federalist voters and persistently high undecided shares exceeding 40%, have reduced the PQ’s projected seat totals into minority territory. The campaign has also shifted focus toward economic pressures from U.S. tariffs, further contributing to volatility in voter intentions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong