Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (51% Yes on April 16) and State Navigate (52% Yes on April 15), indicate narrow voter support for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's General Assembly to adopt interim congressional districts until 2031, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for passage ahead of the April 21 special election. Democratic mobilization, featuring endorsements from former President Obama, Governor Spanberger, and over $20 million in pro-Yes spending by national groups like House Majority Forward, has sustained the edge despite Republican critiques of the proposed 10D-1R map. Early voting through April 18 shows elevated GOP turnout in rural counties but lower Democratic participation in urban areas; the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the ballot measure last month, resolving legal hurdles and boosting Yes sentiment among likely voters.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$442,640 Vol.
$442,640 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
$442,640 Vol.
$442,640 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (51% Yes on April 16) and State Navigate (52% Yes on April 15), indicate narrow voter support for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's General Assembly to adopt interim congressional districts until 2031, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for passage ahead of the April 21 special election. Democratic mobilization, featuring endorsements from former President Obama, Governor Spanberger, and over $20 million in pro-Yes spending by national groups like House Majority Forward, has sustained the edge despite Republican critiques of the proposed 10D-1R map. Early voting through April 18 shows elevated GOP turnout in rural counties but lower Democratic participation in urban areas; the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the ballot measure last month, resolving legal hurdles and boosting Yes sentiment among likely voters.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$442,640Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (51% Yes on April 16) and State Navigate (52% Yes on April 15), indicate narrow voter support for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's General Assembly to adopt interim congressional districts until 2031, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for passage ahead of the April 21 special election. Democratic mobilization, featuring endorsements from former President Obama, Governor Spanberger, and over $20 million in pro-Yes spending by national groups like House Majority Forward, has sustained the edge despite Republican critiques of the proposed 10D-1R map. Early voting through April 18 shows elevated GOP turnout in rural counties but lower Democratic participation in urban areas; the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the ballot measure last month, resolving legal hurdles and boosting Yes sentiment among likely voters.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Volume
$442,675Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (51% Yes on April 16) and State Navigate (52% Yes on April 15), indicate narrow voter support for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's General Assembly to adopt interim congressional districts until 2031, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for passage ahead of the April 21 special election. Democratic mobilization, featuring endorsements from former President Obama, Governor Spanberger, and over $20 million in pro-Yes spending by national groups like House Majority Forward, has sustained the edge despite Republican critiques of the proposed 10D-1R map. Early voting through April 18 shows elevated GOP turnout in rural counties but lower Democratic participation in urban areas; the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the ballot measure last month, resolving legal hurdles and boosting Yes sentiment among likely voters.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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