Belgium's higher FIFA ranking, deeper squad featuring experienced attackers like Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku alongside goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois, and consistent international pedigree drive the 67.5% implied probability as group favorites. Egypt sits second at 18.5% on the strength of Mohamed Salah's proven scoring threat and organized play, though recent previews note this as one of their weaker recent editions. Iran at 11.1% benefits from a solid defensive structure and ranking advantage over the lowest-seeded side but faces questions around squad age and preparation. New Zealand trails at 3.6% as clear underdogs given their 85th world ranking and limited depth, with realistic upset potential confined mainly to early matches against similarly positioned opponents. Trader consensus aligns with these established team profiles and continental form trends ahead of the June group stage.