Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, closely tracking the Central Bank's April survey forecasting 1700 ARS/USD amid projected 29.1% annual inflation—up slightly from prior estimates. This positions the 1450–1499.99 bracket second at 27.2%, reflecting expectations of controlled depreciation via the BCRA's inflation-linked crawling bands, implemented January 2026, to maintain competitiveness as monthly inflation hovers around 3%. Recent peso strength to 1358 ARS/USD on April 15 follows BCRA's largest 2026 dollar purchase of $281 million, bolstering reserves, though persistent price pressures and upcoming March CPI revisions could accelerate band adjustments through year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi1600.00+ 45%
1450.00–1499.99 20.9%
1400.00–1449.99 17.2%
1300.00–1349.99 11.8%
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
6%
1300.00–1349.99
11%
1350.00–1399.99
12%
1400.00–1449.99
10%
1450.00–1499.99
30%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
8%
1600.00+
45%
1600.00+ 45%
1450.00–1499.99 20.9%
1400.00–1449.99 17.2%
1300.00–1349.99 11.8%
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
<1250.00
$0 Hac.
2%
1250.00–1299.99
$377 Hac.
6%
1300.00–1349.99
$0 Hac.
11%
1350.00–1399.99
$375 Hac.
12%
1400.00–1449.99
$664 Hac.
10%
1450.00–1499.99
$725 Hac.
30%
1500.00–1549.99
$672 Hac.
11%
1550.00–1599.99
$409 Hac.
8%
1600.00+
$1,357 Hac.
45%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, closely tracking the Central Bank's April survey forecasting 1700 ARS/USD amid projected 29.1% annual inflation—up slightly from prior estimates. This positions the 1450–1499.99 bracket second at 27.2%, reflecting expectations of controlled depreciation via the BCRA's inflation-linked crawling bands, implemented January 2026, to maintain competitiveness as monthly inflation hovers around 3%. Recent peso strength to 1358 ARS/USD on April 15 follows BCRA's largest 2026 dollar purchase of $281 million, bolstering reserves, though persistent price pressures and upcoming March CPI revisions could accelerate band adjustments through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Hacim
$4,578Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, closely tracking the Central Bank's April survey forecasting 1700 ARS/USD amid projected 29.1% annual inflation—up slightly from prior estimates. This positions the 1450–1499.99 bracket second at 27.2%, reflecting expectations of controlled depreciation via the BCRA's inflation-linked crawling bands, implemented January 2026, to maintain competitiveness as monthly inflation hovers around 3%. Recent peso strength to 1358 ARS/USD on April 15 follows BCRA's largest 2026 dollar purchase of $281 million, bolstering reserves, though persistent price pressures and upcoming March CPI revisions could accelerate band adjustments through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$4,578Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by end-2026, closely tracking the Central Bank's April survey forecasting 1700 ARS/USD amid projected 29.1% annual inflation—up slightly from prior estimates. This positions the 1450–1499.99 bracket second at 27.2%, reflecting expectations of controlled depreciation via the BCRA's inflation-linked crawling bands, implemented January 2026, to maintain competitiveness as monthly inflation hovers around 3%. Recent peso strength to 1358 ARS/USD on April 15 follows BCRA's largest 2026 dollar purchase of $281 million, bolstering reserves, though persistent price pressures and upcoming March CPI revisions could accelerate band adjustments through year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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