Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Iran-related geopolitical tensions that spiked prices to near $128/bbl in early April. Recent EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed an unexpected crude inventory draw of 913,000 barrels versus a forecasted 154,000-barrel build, bolstering bullish sentiment as U.S. stocks hover near three-year highs but refinery runs remain robust. OPEC+ has extended voluntary production cuts through year-end 2026, countering non-OPEC supply growth, while June 2026 futures trade around $89.30/bbl. Watch upcoming EIA reports and potential OPEC+ adjustments for volatility ahead of summer driving season demand.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHam Petrol (CL) haziran ayında ne kadara yerleşecek?
Ham Petrol (CL) haziran ayında ne kadara yerleşecek?
>84$ 55%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.8%
$63-$70 5.5%
$129,575 Hac.
$129,575 Hac.
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>84$
55%
>84$ 55%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.8%
$63-$70 5.5%
$129,575 Hac.
$129,575 Hac.
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>84$
55%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions from Iran-related geopolitical tensions that spiked prices to near $128/bbl in early April. Recent EIA data for the week ending April 10 showed an unexpected crude inventory draw of 913,000 barrels versus a forecasted 154,000-barrel build, bolstering bullish sentiment as U.S. stocks hover near three-year highs but refinery runs remain robust. OPEC+ has extended voluntary production cuts through year-end 2026, countering non-OPEC supply growth, while June 2026 futures trade around $89.30/bbl. Watch upcoming EIA reports and potential OPEC+ adjustments for volatility ahead of summer driving season demand.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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