Netherlands hold a trader consensus of 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-5 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and squad depth featuring Virgil van Dijk, Frenkie de Jong, and Cody Gakpo, positioning them as clear favorites against a competitive field including Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia. Japan's 27.5% reflects their flawless AFC qualifying run, European-based stars like Kaoru Mitoma, and 2022 World Cup upset over Germany, signaling strong counterattacking threat. Sweden's inclusion under the 13.5% ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome stems from their late-March playoff triumphs—a 3-1 win over Ukraine via Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick and victory against Poland—securing the spot amid Gyökeres' hot form boosting sentiment, while Tunisia lags at 4% due to modest CAF results and lower ranking in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHollanda 54%
Japonya 28%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR 14%
Tunus 4.0%
$78,434 Hac.
$78,434 Hac.
Hollanda
54%
Japonya
28%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR
14%
Tunus
4%
Hollanda 54%
Japonya 28%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR 14%
Tunus 4.0%
$78,434 Hac.
$78,434 Hac.
Hollanda
54%
Japonya
28%
ARN/POL/İSV/UKR
14%
Tunus
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Netherlands hold a trader consensus of 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-5 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign, and squad depth featuring Virgil van Dijk, Frenkie de Jong, and Cody Gakpo, positioning them as clear favorites against a competitive field including Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia. Japan's 27.5% reflects their flawless AFC qualifying run, European-based stars like Kaoru Mitoma, and 2022 World Cup upset over Germany, signaling strong counterattacking threat. Sweden's inclusion under the 13.5% ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome stems from their late-March playoff triumphs—a 3-1 win over Ukraine via Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick and victory against Poland—securing the spot amid Gyökeres' hot form boosting sentiment, while Tunisia lags at 4% due to modest CAF results and lower ranking in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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